The forecast of demand forms the basis for all strategic and planning decisions in a supply chain.
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Question 2
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For pull processes, a manager must forecast what customer demand will be in order to plan the level of available capacity and inventory.
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Question 3
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The result when each stage in the supply chain makes its own separate forecast is often a match between supply and demand because these forecasts are often very different.
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Question 4
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Leaders in many supply chains have started moving toward collaborative forecasting to improve their ability to match supply and demand.
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Question 5
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Mature products with stable demand are usually the most difficult to forecast.
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Question 6
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Forecasting and the accompanying managerial decisions are extremely difficult when either the supply of raw materials or the demand for the finished product is highly variable.
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Question 7
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Forecasts should include both the expected value of the forecast and a measure of forecast error.
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Question 8
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Aggregate forecasts are usually more accurate than disaggregate forecasts, as they tend to have a smaller standard deviation of error relative to the mean.
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Question 9
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Collaborative forecasting based on sales to the end customer can help enterprises further up the supply chain reduce forecast error.
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Question 10
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Qualitative forecasting methods are most appropriate when there is good historical data available or when experts do not have market intelligence that is critical in making the forecast.
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Question 11
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Time series forecasting methods are the most difficult methods to implement.
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Question 12
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Causal forecasting methods find a correlation between demand and environmental factors and use estimates of what environmental factors will be to forecast future demand.
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Question 13
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The forecast error measures the difference between the forecast and the estimate.
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Question 14
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The goal of any forecasting method is to predict the systematic component of demand and estimate the random component.
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Question 15
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In adaptive forecasting, the estimates of level, trend, and seasonality are updated after each demand observation.
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Question 16
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The moving average forecast method is used when demand has an observable trend or seasonality.
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Question 17
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Forecasting and the accompanying managerial decisions are extremely difficult when either the supply of raw materials or the demand for the finished product is highly unpredictable.
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Question 18
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Long-term forecasts have a larger standard deviation of error relative to the mean than short-term forecasts.
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Question 19
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The basis for all strategic and planning decisions in a supply chain comes from
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the forecast of demand.
sales targets.
profitability projections.
production efficiency goals.
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Question 20
Multiple Choice
For push processes, a manager must forecast what customer demand will be in order to
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plan the service level.
plan the level of available capacity and inventory.